Lockup Dave’s betting tips for the quarter-finals of the World Grand Prix

We are at the point in the World Grand Prix, where we will discover our semi-final line up for Friday and it could be an absolute cracker.

Tonight’s action will be available to all Sky TV customers on their free sports channel Sky Sports Mix and in addition to this the same channel will screen the final on Saturday also.

Order of play

Robert Thornton vs Daryl Gurney – Players tied on 3-3 (Gurney has won all of the last three inclusive of his last 32 win at the last World Championship)

John Henderson vs Raymond van Barneveld – No previous meetings

Benito van de Pas vs Simon Whitlock – van de Pas leads 3-2 (van de Pas won last three)

Mensur Suljovic vs Peter Wright – Wright leads 6-3

Robert Thornton vs Daryl Gurney

Thornton – 23/10 Boylesports; Gurney – 4/9 Betfair

Despite some jerky darts in his win versus Dave Chisnall, Robert Thornton is capitalising on his free meal ticket in the competition seeing Phil Taylor made way for his inclusion.

Thornton’s game against Chisnall could have gone either way at times. Daryl Gurney played a great spirited game against Joe Cullen in what was a well-paced game which saw Superchin win 3-1 in a deserving battle.

Gurney was superb on his finishing doubles against Cullen ending up with a 75% conversion, which is beyond expectations of any player for this level of accuracy.

Thornton headed a respectable 34.29% on the checkouts and relied on his third dart as his most effective.

The game will be another best of five encounter with the young Irish star odds on to win the game either 3-0 or 3-1. Thornton is evens to win the game by any method and covers a 3-2 loss if this is the bet you are looking for.

There was grave expectations in the Gurney game to see maximums and even discussed this game on my off air darts elite forum chat.

When approached on the subject, we saw just four in the process with the line twice this. Thornton’s game saw the Scot pocket nine, also upsetting many Chisnall 180 backers. With the line set at 8.5 the assumption would be that we need to see more than a straight sets win to consider this and with a fair contribution from both. The pair both play reactively, which is a factor to support the over line on this case.

Thornton can show his disappointment visually when darts go astray and guaranteed the crowd will be PRO Gurney on this game.

John Henderson Vs Raymond van Barneveld

Henderson – 7/2 Sportingbet; Barney – 2/7 Bet365

There is no data to suggest the pair have ever met having both been in the game for several years. Henderson is newer to the PDC code, but has been around for a while and is a credible top 32 player.

Henderson’s fairy tale adventure continues with credibility as expectations of beating van Gerwen in the round took the pressure off him and that was the case for Alan Norris in that he was expected to win the game. The Highlander punished Norris on several occasions

The game between van Barneveld and Beaton was not quite the classic we might have expected as Beaton said himself he had a bad day at the office.

Beaton suffered a host of key misses which handed Barney a 3-0. Barney pre-game was 4/5 to win his quarter, and on the basis of his match odds would have gone in no better than 2/5 to beat Alan Norris had he won his game. Barney is 2/7, so punters could cash in marginally here on a trade-off.

There was little activity on the maximums in the Barney game seeing just the one and the Scotsman is BIG at 21/10 with Coral to hit the most 180s in the game which may appeal to some.

Benito van de Pas vs Simon Whitlock

Whitlock – 19/20 Betfair; van de Pas 23/20 Boylesports

Benito and Simon Whitlock meet in what should be a tightly contested game where van de Pas made light work of Gerwyn Price in his second round disposing of the Welshman 3-0.

Whitlock similarly easily beat North in a one sided encounter, with Richard North putting up some resistance, but was not enough to trouble the Aussie.

Both players had impressive checkout percentages with Benito hitting a 64.29% conversion compared to Simon’s 52.94%. Overall Pas has converted 53.33 with Whitlock’s 48.57%.

Punters will be keen to consider the Aussie to hit the most maximums in the tie, knowing the angle of throw Big Ben often throws. Whitlock has eight compared to van de Pas’ three making this market a potential target.

Over the format of best of will emulate the format in the previous round. Whitlock is 4/7 for most 180s which appeals. The -1.5 Handicap also will raise some eyebrows on the basis van de Pas often switches to 19s and at 10/11 is a fair price.

Mensur Suljovic vs Peter Wright

Wright – 7/12 Marathonbet; Suljovic – 15/8 Betfair

The Austrian made light work of Steve West in their encounter taking a straight sets victory. Suljovic took out some excellent scoring including a 140 finish on double top twice. The look on West’s face said it all when this landed and he new it was not his day, but put up a valiant fight despite the scoreline.

Playing Suljovic is no easy task in respect of playing his pace. Suljovic’s opponent Peter Wright will endure a task of dealing with Mensur Mania and the apparent niggle Wright seem to have against King towards his elbow is nothing serious.

This game could go some distance so Paddy Power are 8/11 for over 15.5 legs which I expect to see at least four sets in the game. This is a fair price on the basis the game will last anywhere between 9-25 legs!


Whitlock -1.5 180 Handicap 10/11Coral and Ladbrokes 1.5 Pts

Over 15.5 legs (Wright/Suljovic) 8/11Paddy Power 1pt

1st leg 180 NO – Whitlock and Barney games – 2.07 Betway 2pt double


Lockup Dave’s betting tips for day four of the World Grand Prix

The quarter-finals will be finalised as the bottom half of the draw takes shape and Peter Wright remains the hot favourite to win the title!

Order of play

Gerwyn Price vs Benito van de Pas (Players tied 3-3)

Mensur Suljovic vs Steve West (Mensur leads 2-1)

Richard North vs Simon Whitlock (Richard leads 2-0)

Peter Wright vs Mervyn King (Peter leads 11-5)

Gerwyn Price vs Benito van de Pas

Two of the younger stars will get a chance to make the quarter final, and with Price having made the UK Open final back in March should have enough to see off Big Ben in this last 16 clash!

Layers edge Price by the narrowest of margins. Coming into the game Price certainly made some impact over the summer reaching a semi final at the World Series event, as well as the World Cup final back in June.

Benito in comparison bar a European Tour semi final last month had experienced flat form having exited early on in events dating back to early May.

The bet I really like here is a little unorthodox but William Hill are offering a special #yourodds bet on NO 180 in the first two legs on the basis that double in on a particular leg in my view does lean more so to the no outcome rather than a regular leg of 501.

On their last game, Benito did not register a maximum until after leg two, and despite Gerwyn hitting one in his opening we did not see another in the set from the Welshman.

At 21/20 this has a fair chance of landing, especially if both players struggle to get going.

Mensur Suljovic vs Steve West

Suljovic survived an early set deficit to overcome Ian White in his opener. Mensur was fairly effective throughout his match and has Steve West, an ideal opponent for his pace in the second round. Steve West was well backed to beat Wade and did not disappoint.

The pair have met only three times, with Suljovic on the slight edge. Odds compilers are giving nothing away with their general 1/3 odds on the Austrian with West out at 14/5 with Bwin.

There is no bet for this game and will enjoy this as this could be closer than the odds suggest!

Richard North vs Simon Whitlock

Richard North is going places in Darts and overcame a patchy Mark Webster in their opener. Whitlock survived match darts against Christian Kist resiliently to take 108 out with double 16.

North comes into this game as the likely underdog at 5/2 with Whitlock a solid 2/5.

The Aussie has the experience on the TV stage, which will give him the edge. In addition, Whitlock’s checkout ability has assisted in his elevation to the top four just a short while ago.

North has enjoyed a sound year including a recent pro-tour final back in August, but expect Whitlock to reign supremacy, without conceding more than one set.

Peter Wright vs Mervyn King

The two good friends square off in what could be an epic game. Both players know each others game inside out, although Wright in the last four years has had the better of King 8-2 on the head to head including winning the last six. Wright is chalked up short at just 2/7 with Bet365 with King at 7/2 with Boylesports.

King made relative work of his game versus Ronny Huybrechts 2-0 with Peter Wright getting through by the skin of his teeth with Bunting missing two match darts on double 16.

Wright should win the maximum count on the night, having pocketed four in his win over Bunting. King took just one, and is not the maximum hitter we have known him to be. At 8/11 with Sunbets is a fairly strong bet to take with Betfred chalking the maximum handicap at -1.5 at just 6/5.

The expectation for Wright to come out on top to make the last eight by many. King has plenty in the tank to bag a set or two. From 2/7 for Wright to win by any method, you can get Wright to win but concede a set or more at 11/10, which is a shade of value on their correct score combined percentage which should be around evens winning 3-1 or 3-2.


NO 180 in legs 1 and 2 (Price/Pas) 21/20 William Hill (#yourodds) 1.5 pts)
Wright/King – Wright to win but both to win a set – 11/10 Betfred 1.5pts
Whitlock -1.5 sets to beat North – 11/10 Unibet and 888sport 2pts
Wright – most 180’s Vs King – 8/11 Sunbets 1pt


Lockup Dave’s betting tips for day three of the World Grand Prix

There was a major upset on night one of the World Grand Prix opening the top half of the draw right up with Michael van Gerwen’s elimination thanks to John Henderson.

The opening round of 16 begins with four matches as the third major of the year unfolds.

Order of play

Dave Chisnall vs Robert Thornton – Chisnall leads 14-10
Daryl Gurney vs Joe Cullen – Cullen leads 5-1
John Henderson vs Alan Norris – Norris leads 4-3
Raymond van Barneveld vs Steve Beaton – van Barneveld leads 9-2

Short price backers will be able to back the four fold of Chisnall/Gurney/Norris and Barney at a shade under 3/1 with Hills.

The underdogs will reap a tasty 88/1 with BetVictor seeing the longshot prices all storm home.

Looking at the line up you cannot be overly confident all four favourites will win, although support the reasoning perhaps over one or two of the above.

With the format best of five, the competitors will have a little more time to settle in.

Chisnall squares off against Thornton, where Chisnall is short at just 4/11 to make the quarter final. Thornton is BIG at 14/5 but to win this must be strong at starting off.

Chisnall is a firm favourite on tops and considered double 18 as his reserve option in polishing off Jelle Klaasen in just eight legs.

Thornton had an edgy but confidence boosting win over Kim Huybrechts and the look on his face when he won could determine how relived he really was.

There were classic Thornton signs during the game which the Thorn will need to shake off quickly.

Chisnall hit six maximums in eight legs against Klaasen and is a solid 4/9 with firms to outhit the Scotsman.

Betfred punt just 8/13 Chisnall wins by two or more maximums, which is too short for us, but the 4/9 is good double material with another maximum bet, which enhances to 8/5 with a 6/4 minimum price acceptable, which you will find at the end of this feature.

Gurney and Cullen is a great pairing, where the Irishman will be heavily cheered by the Irish fans, with Cullen potentially having to be the crowd heel especially on the doubles, which could be Gurney’s 12th man in football terminology.

Gurney is no bigger than 4/7 for a place in the last eight, with the former postman at 13/8 lengthening from his initial 6/4 quoted price.

Cullen endured a very close encounter with fellow in-form Darren Webster, which saw a great three set game where the final two sets went the distance.

In a nutshell, there will be punters looking at a Gurney 3-1 win, which is best 3/1, with a clean sweep chalked at 4/1 with Bwin, representing a 20% chance.

One bet that does appeal is for there to be no maximum in the first leg. For even money on a maximum, I would want Chisnall or MVG to be one of the two men in the game and this percentage is not on par with both players featuring.

They did not achieve this in their opening game, and again with double start there is one fewer opportunity to hit a maximum in any given leg.

The third game has John Henderson facing off versus Alan Norris. Norris probably expected to be facing Mighty Mike in the last 16, but both players will have an opportunity to make some further headway in this competition.

Henderson averaged a mid to high 70 average in his victory and relied on MVG’s double in misses, which went punished.

Norris will be well fancied for this and is a short 4/9 shot to beat the Highlander at 21/10.

Norris did appear to be pretty rusty in his opener, and a repeat performance will see Henderson take advantage of this.

Henderson in any game in 2017 has not hit more than three maximums over any distance. Norris has exceeded this in six games in the same period, but has played a small handful more games than Hendo.

Both did not hit a single maximum in their opener, but Norris once in the groove can reach consistency. My worry with the Highlander is his rocking movement on the throw, which works for him, but does suffer in the maximum scoring department.

I am willing to take on Norris over an extended format to get settled in and beat the Scotsman by one or more maximums. It is 4/5 with Sunbets but doubled up with Chisnall pays 8/5 with Blacktype, with Winner, Sunbets and Marathonbet all offering better than 6/4, the minimum price acceptable for this double.

In the final match we see two veterans face off, where Barney at the time of writing became the second favourite for the competition. Barney plays Beaton, where the pair bar one meeting have not faced off in the best part of five years.

Both players outclassed their opposition to reach this stage and Barney is installed as the 3/10 favourite with Beaton at 5/2.

I had taken the price at 4/5 for the game to see fewer than seven maximums, but has subsequently shortened to 8/11, which is below my minimum price acceptable.

Elsewhere in the match, I considered a high checkout for Barney but is set high at 117 which is 5/6, but wanted nearer even money to take on. I will sit back and watch this to see the best man win!


Most 180 double – Chisnall/Norris – 8/5 Blacktype (6/4+ acceptable at Marathonbet/Winner and Sunbets) 1pt

First leg 180 NO – Cullen/Gurney 8/11 Paddy Power 1.5 pts


World Matchplay betting column, day nine: No 180 in the first leg of the final is my tip for tonight

Phil Taylor heads into tonight’s World Matchplay final seeking a record 16th title with odds compilers laying 1/2 on Taylor and 7/4 against for Peter Wright.

It has been three years since Taylor last won a PDC major title.

Wright averaged around the 94 mark against Daryl Gurney last night with just four 180s in 32 legs and has misfired all week in this region.

On the head to head Wright trails Taylor 20-10 and with a chance to win his second major in a year after pocketing the UK Open in March.

One stat I have derived is that neither player has hit a 180 in the opening leg. Each of the pairs four matches respectively albeit Wrights opener has seen an opening leg maximum which was by James Wilson.

The first leg NO 180 is 1.74 at Marathonbet and 8/11 with Coral and Ladbrokes is certainly worth considering seeing as neither player has achieved one any sooner than the second leg onwards.

Tonight could be Taylor’s dream in respect of winning this for the 16th time, more than in any other arena and is likely the fans will be behind Taylor.

The 180 line in general is set at 17.5 at 5/6 with Hills and Marathonbet and is possibly worth a look although if both perform this line could go close.


First leg 180 NO – 1.74 Marathonbet 1pt (8/11 acceptable with Coral and Ladbrokes)


World Matchplay betting column, day eight: Will Phil Taylor get off to a hot start again tonight?

The World Matchplay arrives at the semi-final stage and I’m happy to announce all Sky TV subscribers can benefit from watching this on Sky Sports Mix on channel 121.

Last night’s bet on match to have most 180s ended in a tie, which meant our bet was deemed void under the Hills rules on betting without the tie price being quoted.

The final four are here but only two of them can proceed to the final on Sunday.

Daryl Gurney vs. Peter Wright – 2/1 – 7/15 (Wright leads 9-3)

Gurney ended a losing streak of seven spanning back to mid-February 2016 by defeating Wright 8-7 two weeks ago at the US Masters in a tight game taking four of the final five legs to beat Snakebite.

Gurney’s form has been so impressive a well known professional gambler contacted me to inform me regarding a Gurney 100/1 price for the World Championship each-way and managed to get an acceptable sum on the outcome.

Gurney is 2/1 against to Wright at 2/5 – 4/9 in places and 7/15 at Marathonbet.

Route to the semi-finals

Last 32 – Benito van de Pas 11-9
Last 16 – Gary Anderson 11-9
Last 8 – Mensur Suljovic 16-13

Legs played – 59
180s scored – 28
Average 180 per leg – 0.47457 per leg
Highest checkout -146

Last 32 – James Wilson 10-8
Last 16 – Cristo Reyes 11-4
Last 8 – Darren Webster 16-12

Legs played – 61
180s scored – 10
Average 180 per leg – 0.16393 per leg
Highest checkout – 147

Looking at the markets immediately our eyes turn to the 180 markets and no doubt Gurney is the 4/9 FAV here with Wright 100/30 and 10/1 the tie.

Superchin is 1/1 to win the 180 count by three or more which on the basis of this week evens is a fair price.

Alternatively, Gurney is solid at 1/2 to beat Wright with a 5.5 leg handicap and I really like this with Bwin in comparison Bet 365 are 4/11 for the same market.

Wright has been nailing the scoring as we know him but something is not quite right and it something with Wright’s darts.

Gurney on the maximum count is appealing and the highest checkout overall which is 140.50 at 5/6 which is not worth touching.

Phil Taylor vs. Adrian Lewis – 2/5 – 11/5 (Taylor leads 53-17)

The pair are 1-1 in 2017 having traded victories in the Premier League round robin.

Route to the semi-finals

Last 32 – Steve Beaton 10-7
Last 16 – Rob Cross 11-8
Last 8 – Alan Norris 16-13

Legs played – 65
180s scored – 17
Average 180 per leg – 0.2615 per leg
Highest checkout – 144

Last 32 – Gerwyn Price – 10-5
Last 16 – Raymond van Barneveld 11-3
Last 8 – Michael van Gerwen 16-6

Legs played – 51
180s scored – 16
Average 180 per leg – 0.3137 per leg
Highest checkout – 151

Taylor is a firm 2/5 to make ‘one more’ final and can do this in style by beating Adrian Lewis.

Taylor has given away a 3.5 leg handicap and the scoreline versus MVG was superb as Taylor blessed the crowd at the end.

It was for me a beautiful moment seeing Taylor show some emotion to the crowd who cheered him throughout and raised goosebumps at the end.

Lewis despite the 180 leg average difference is 5/6 with Paddy Power to win the maximum count and can do with a back and forth motion on the oche.

Lewis has admitted he has been commuting to the venue and was caught in bad traffic for his last game.

William Hill have one bet which appeals is for Taylor to win the opening two legs. If Taylor can emulate what he did over MVG and Barney at 9/4 you feel the crowd are going to be right behind Taylor as motivation and Lewis with his back issue may take time to get motoring.

Gurney -2.5 180s – 1/1 Sky Bet 2pts
Taylor to win opening 2 legs – 9/4 William Hill 1pt


World Matchplay betting column, day seven: Adrian Lewis and Alan Norris to serve up more 180s tonight

We were treated to two thrilling games on Thursday as the first semi-final was settled.

For those that do not know the outcomes, Daryl Gurney edged past Mensur Suljovic 16-13 in a game where Suljovic had the lead during the contest but Superchin had that little bit extra in the tank to seal the final three legs 16-13.

In the other quarter-final, Peter Wright similarly had that bit extra in the tank where his opponent Darren Webster was with Wright throughout the contest losing 16-12 in a very credible effort.

The second lot of quarter-finals takes place tonight which sees Alan ‘Chuck’ Norris battle Adrian ‘Jackpot’ Lewis and Phil Taylor battling what could be his final Matchplay appearance if Michael van Gerwen has anything to do with it!

Alan Norris vs. Adrian Lewis – (Lewis leads 3-0)

Both players have seen off formidable opposition to get to this stage. Norris saw off Kim Huybrechts and Dave Chisnall in quality encounters. Lewis saw off Steve Beaton in an entertaining contest in round one followed by a maximum filled 11-8 win versus rising star Rob Cross.

Lewis – 4/9
Norris – 9/4

Although as the event draws to its conclusion the odds compilers sharpen up prices in respect of what has happened making it trickier to exploit any perceived market value.

Both players are capable of packing in the maximums and with Norris stalling out of first gear at times during his game with Huybrechts without a maximum still polished together 15 140s and trousered 14 140s with nine maximums in a fierce battle with Dave Chisnall.

Adrian Lewis although his opener against Steve Beaton clearly suggested some ring rust still managed 17 140s but only the single maximum. Versus Rob Cross, Lewis’s 140s were consistent and polished nine of these attempts into a 180.

In a game that may go some distance both players will be in reactive mode and see this game at 11/10 with the most maximums a fair proposition!

Michael van Gerwen vs. Phil Taylor – (Taylor leads 32-25)

The pair met in the final a year ago where MVG defeated Taylor 18-10 in a classic encounter. In the year that has passed including that final the pair have met seven times with Taylor the victor on four occasions.

It could have been five in Shanghai in a recent World Series event where it looked like Taylor was 6-2 up and MVG stormed back to win 8-7 leaving Taylor fuming from the pictures we saw.

Being in Taylor’s backyard MVG will be looking to make it a second victory in a row on this stage after losing out to Taylor 18-9 in the 2014 final.

MVG – 2/11
Taylor – 23/5

Event stats

Legs played – 28
180s – 11
Highest out – 160

Legs played – 29
180s – 6
Highest out – 151

The indications on the 180 count would suggest it would be based around the 16 mark and the line has been set at 16.5 at evens over and 5/6 for fewer.

There are two ways of looking at this:

1: We take on board the comments MVG has said this week and expect him to cause some demolition on Taylor.

2: We take on board recent results between the pair and result that Taylor ups the ante and the game is closer than the compilers suggest.

The handicap gives Taylor between a 5-6 leg and ranges from 10/11 for a 5.5 leg head start to 4/6 for a 6.5 leg head start.

MVG is 2/7 to win the maximum count with the handicap set at 3.5 at 11/10 with Paddy Power.

Although the most likely winner is MVG it cannot be discounted in Phil’s game when they particularly play but will expect MVG to have learnt from the last couple of games that once he is in front he commands the next move.

I looked at leader after four and six legs and offers 21/20 MVG leads 3-1 after four to 5/6 to lead after six holds some weight to the argument.

Despite all markets being examined our suggestion goes on the match most 180s and oppose this game as MVG can switch on the maximums although is so fluent he does venture to the cover shots more often than not and think the 4/6 on this game is carrying too much on the shoulders of MVG versus a pair of natural hitters as we have known for years Taylor has a line on the bed he likes to follow for a maximum and will more often or not switch.


Match with most 180s – Lewis/Norris 11/10 William Hill 1pt


World Matchplay betting column, day six: Peter Wright to be light on the maximum count again tonight

The first set of quarter-finals take place tonight as two lucky winners will go on to compete in the semi-Ffinals of the World Matchplay on Saturday night.

Tonight’s order of play:

Daryl Gurney vs. Mensur Suljovic – Gurney leads 5-4 (players tied 2-2 in 2017)
Peter Wright vs. Darren Webster – Wright leads 9-2 (Wright has won last five spanning back to May 2014)

Daryl Gurney vs. Mensur Suljovic

Daryl Gurney defeated Gary Anderson twice in 10 days after the double world champion was given a great game by the Northern Irish chucker!

Gurney really stepped up to the echelons of Anderson who with a 105.17 average was not enough in a credible 11-9 defeat to Gurney.

Heading back to 2012 this event was the kickstart of the pathway that led MVG to greatness and near invincibility. Could this be the continuation of something good for Superchin who is the 4/6 favourite for the tie with Suljovic marginal underdog around 5/4.

Taking on the basis that Gurney is more of the paced player versus the more deliberate style of Suljovic the 180 market is the starting point. Gurney is 1/8 to win the 180 count.

Superchin has netted 15 in his two games, which were both paced games compared to Mensur’s six. From the 1/8 to win by one or more layers take the opinion Daryl should win by a margin of five.

Gurney’s leg maximum average is 0.375 180s per leg (40 played). Suljovic’s average is 0.1935 per leg over 31 legs.

Over the favoured total legs of 27.5, rounded up to 28 based on performance counts each player should get

DG – 10.50
MS – 5.42

The bookie line at -4.5 there is no value at 5/6 for Gurney as it’s a tall line to cover.

I am finding this game difficult to call unless a custom bet on Sky Bet, Hills or BetVictor appears check my blog. But on balance I wish both players the very best of luck.

Peter Wright vs. Darren Webster

Darren Webster has been one of the stars of the event and has a chance to make the Matchplay semi-finals against the winner of the other game on Saturday.

Wright would have been smiling to have seen Gurney edge out Anderson on Tuesday but in his own mind will see any next opponent as a threat and this starts with Webster.

Webster is an underdog around the 5/1 mark with Wright red hot around 1/7. Based on this price Wright has been awarded a 5.5 leg handicap to overcome so must win 16-10 or better to win this is 11/10 with the sponsors.

The market that has shone the radar is the maximum markets. Wright has uncharacteristically netted just five maximums in 33 legs of darts. His opponent Darren Webster has bagged eight in 42 legs.

Fewer than 14 maximums is possible with Paddy Power at 5/6. Wright individually is no higher than 4/5 with Ladbrokes to hit fewer than eight in the game and 11/10 for eight or more.

Collectively Wright has not got his set up right but will he in time for the game? 4/5 Ladbrokes says he falls short on the maximums.


Under 7.5 180s (Wright) – 4/5 Ladbrokes 1pt